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考研英语模拟试卷201 不想长大歌词(题后含答案及解析)
题型有：1. U of English 2. Reading Comprehension 3. Writing 恐怖公寓
舞彩浅山>饭前喝汤好还是饭后喝汤好
Section I U of EnglishDirections: Read the following text. Choo the best word(s) for each numbered blank and mark A, B, C or D. (10 points)
1． Formal economic forecasting is usually bad on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, and their application requires an elaborate (2)_____ of cau and effect. Others are relatively simple, (3)_____ most developments in the economy to one or two basic factors. Many economists, for example, believe that changes in the supply of money (4)_____ the rate of growth of general business activity. Others (5)_____ a central role to investment in new facilities—housing, industrial plants, highways, and so forth. In the United States, where consumers (6)_____ such a large share of economic activity, some economy believe that consumer decisions to (7)_____ or save provide the principal (8)_____ to the future cour of the entire economy. Obviously the theory that a forecaster applies is of (9)_____ importance to the forecasting process; it (
describe名词10)_____ his line of investigation, the statistics he will regard as most important, and many of the techniques he will apply. Although economic theory may determine the general (11)_____ of a forecast, judgment also often plays an important role. A forecaster may decide that the circumstances of the moment are (12)_____ and that a forecast produced by the (13)_____ statistical methods should be modified to take account of special current circumstances. This is particularly necessary when some event outside the Usual run of economic activity has an a (14)_____ economic effect. For example, forecasts of 1987 economic activity in the United States were more accurate when the analyst correctly foresaw that the exchange value of the dollar would (15)_____ sharply during the year that consumer spending would slacken, and that (16)_____ rates would ri only moderately. None of the conclusions followed (17)_____ purely economic analysis; they all required judgment as to future decisions (18)_____, an economist may decide to adjust an economic forecast that was made by traditional methods to take account of other unique (19)_____; he may, for example, decide that consumers will (20)_____ their spending patterns becau of special circumstances such as rising price of imports or fear of threatened shortages.前的组词
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