四柱十神江恩波动法则原文-翻译,心得,探究
1 "For the past ten years I have devoted my entiretime and attention to the speculative markets.
Like many others, I lost thousands of dollars and experienced the usual ups and downs incidental
to the novice who enters the market without preparatory knowledge of the subject."
在过去的10年中,我把自己所有的时间和精力都投入了投机市场。像大多数人一样,我损失了很多钱,
也经历了缺乏准备就入市的新手难免遇到的起落。
2 "I soon began to realize that all successful men,whether Lawyers, Doctors or Scientists, devoted
years of time to the study and investigation of their particular pursuit or profession before att
empting
to make any money out of it."
后来我意识到,所有的成功人士,无论是律师,医生还是科学家,在试图从从事的行业获利之前总
会投入多年来学习和研究要进入的行业。
大河有水小河满
3 "Being in the Brokerage business mylf and handling large accounts, I had opportunities ldom
afforded the ordinary man for studying the cau of success and failure in the speculations of others.
姓田的女孩名字I found that over ninety percent of the traders who go into the market without knowledge or study usually lo in the end."
做为一个处理大量客户账户的经纪人,我有常人难得的机会来研究他人投机活动的成败原
铁皮石斛吃法
因。我发现,
在缺乏对市场的理解时就入市的交易者中有90%以上都以失败告终。
1到3段是一个引子,强调入市需要对市场的理解,是为了引出下文的波动法则,波动法则就是江恩认为的
入市之前需要的对市场的了解。入市之前确实必须现有准备,否则必败无疑(几率90% 以上)。
4 "I soon began to note the periodical recurrence of the ri and fall in stocks and commodities. This led me
to conclude that natural law was the basis of market movements. I then decided to devote ten years of
my life to the study of natural law as applicable to the speculative markets and to devote my best energies朋友圈素材
toward making speculation a profitable profession. After exhaustive rearches and investigations of the known
油漆工艺
sciences, I discovered that the law of vibration enabled me to accurately determine the exact points at which
stocks or commodities should ri and fall within a given time."
很快我注意到了股票和商品期货涨跌的周期性再现。这让我得出自然法则是市场运动的准则的结论。我决定用
10年时间去学习适用于投机市场的自然法则,并尽我最大的努力使投机成为一个有利可图的职业。在对现有科
学进行彻底的研究后,我发现波动法则能使我精确的确定在一段给定时间内股票或商品期货应该涨跌的点数。
江恩只是说波动法则能让他精确的确定在一段给定时间内股票或商品期货应该涨跌的点数。
这其实也是江恩认为波动法则是入市之前需要的对市场的了解的原因了。这和传说中的何时何价还是不同的,
江恩追求的是结果的正确性,而不会考虑过程,而何时何价则追求过程。
5 The working out of this law determines the cau and predicts the effect long before the street is aware
of either. Most speculators can testify to the fact that it is looking at the effect and ignoring the cau that has produced their loss.
在华尔街还未有任何概念时,该法则就可以通过确定原因并预测到结果。绝对多数投机者可以证实,正是只关注结果而忽略原因导致导致了他们的损失。
这段话放在这里初看起来比较突兀,其实不然。按照常理这里应该对波动法则的含义进行一些描述,而这里确实波动法则的思维方式:
通过确定原因从而来预测结果。这是下文的主线,下文首先 会描述原因和结果分别是什么,然后论述二者关系,最后是使用数学来描述二者关系。
4到5段接上文引子提出了波动法则这个概念,并指出波动法则能精确的确定在一段给定时间内股票或商品期货应该涨跌的点数。
6 "It is impossible here to give an adequate idea of the law of vibrations as I apply it to the markets. However, the layman
may be able to grasp some of the principles when I state that the law of vibration is the fundamental law upon which wireless
中国文学名著
telegraphy, wireless telephone and phono graphs are bad. Without the existence of this law the above inventions would have been impossible."
在此我不会给出我在市场中应用的波动法则的完整概念。但当我说波动法则是无线电报,无线电话和留声机的基础原理时,信徒们还是能够得
包的英语怎么写到它的一些轮廓。没有该法则的存在,上述发明将是不可能的。
该段描述了波动法则的含义。虽说没有明说,但从江恩举的例子的类比中可以得出一个大致的轮廓。无线电报,无线电话
都是使用无线电波来承载数据的,而无线电波和周期性循环电流之间有明确的数学关系可以相互转换,有什么样的电流
就会有什么样的无线电波,有这个原理,虽然形态不同了,但数据依然可以无损的传输。江恩用这样的例子来类比股市就
是再说股票的运动比如价格,成交量,运动方向之类的,就像无线电波一样只是表象,制造该表象的另有原因,而该原因
和表象之间是有明确的数学关系可以转换的。由此可以推断波动法则是一种以数学方式来描述投机市场表面波动和内在原因关系的理论。
7 "In order to test the efficiency of my idea I have not only put in years of labour in the regular way, but I spent nine
months working night and day in the Astor Library in New York and in the British Muum of London, going over the
records of stock transactions as far back as 1820. I have incidentally examined the manipulations of Jay Gould, Daniel
Drew,Commodore Vanderbilt & all other important manipulators from that time to the prent day. I have examined
every quotation of Union Pacific prior to& from the time of E. H. Harriman, Mr. Harriman's was the most masterly. The
figures show that, whether unconsciously or not, Mr. Harriman worked strictly in accordance with natural law."
为了验证我的想法的正确性,几年来除了正常工作,我还花了9个月在纽约的Astor图书馆和伦敦的大英博物馆中夜以
继日的学习和查阅从1820年以来的股票交易记录。我顺便研究了Jay Gould,Daniel Drew,Commodore Vanderbilt和
其他从那时以所有的大炒家。我研究了Union Pacific公司在E. H. Harriman掌控前后的每个行情。Harriman先生是最好的
控制者。数据显示,Harriman先生总是严格按照自然法则来工作,不管是有意或无意的。