东南亚-中国自由贸易区对该区域经济各方面所产生的影响
新思维英语
摘要
clothes怎么读在2000 年11月召开的东盟-中国首脑会上中国朱镕基总理提议进一步加强中国与东南亚连盟合作关系东盟成员国对此持有不同的看法
他门一方面担心中国货品会在关税下降及非关税壁垒被废除后为东盟成员国带来冲击而另一方面东盟-中国专家小组在2001年呈上的报告中指
出经济合作对双方的有利数据培训招生网站
这篇论文首先阐述了东盟和中国的发展然后主要着眼于讨论东南
亚-中国自由贸易区对该区域的贸易外商直接投资以及国民生产总值各方面所产生的影响同时本文还将分析成功实施自由贸易区方案提议所存
在的潜在问题以及关键成功要素
由东盟-中国专家小组与使用全球贸易分析研究(GTAP) 模型的泰国朱拉隆功大学的柴拉迪约教授Suthiphand Chirathivat同步展开的研究表明双方都能深深地从自由贸易协议中受益这些受益表现在总产量的增
长出口量的增加以及贸易差额的改善方面东盟对中国出口将会增长
130亿美金或者说48个百分点而中国对东盟的出口将会增加106亿美金或者说55.1个百分点东盟还将在服务业方面受益虽然中国的服务业发展水平偏低因而在这个领域并不真正具有很强的优势但是美国和欧盟
这样的第三方国家的投资商们却格外关注这一点尤其是中国加入世贸而
对外商企业政策上的放宽之后更是如此贸易协议无疑会为东盟在这个本
就具有优势的领域里更大地施展拳脚的机会除了货物贸易和服务业的贸易能够受益的另一大领域是外商投资由于为了拉近合作关系促进投
杰克逊歌曲下载
资力度而出台了范围广泛的目标和措施在这两个区域经商的投资者将会
受益于由此而来的更大的确定性和活力所以东盟和中国相互之间的投
资将会更加快速地增加trampoline
模型不仅模拟了出口方面的收益而且也对国民生产总值方面的收
益作了模拟研究表明东盟的国民生产总值将会增加54亿美金或者说是
0.9个百分点而中国的国民生产总值将会增加22亿美金或者说是0.3个百分点也就是说双方国民生产总值的增值总计76亿美金
除了以上讨论的静态效应以外贸易协议的建立还将带来动态效
应产生的主要原因是规模经济产品差异化效率利益和政策协调的建
立事实上长期看来这些动态效应要比静态效应更为重要
在这个衔接的过渡时刻清醒地认识到如果大环境不予支持的话
从贸易协议获得的巨大利益将无法物化这一点是非常重要的成功实施贸
易协议其中为关键因素是会员们有必要一致接受对外开放区域的观点其
依据是一个向外展望的策略由此要采取一些措施来降低非成员国所面临
的外围壁垒以及伴随着自由贸易区的形成而出现的自由化承诺总之此贸易协议是在东盟总体而言面临巨大压力的时候出台的
difficulty
首先内部经济实力虚弱其次中国加入世贸组织给其带来很大压力
后者对东盟而言既意味着机遇也意味着挑战根据在本文的分析我们能
combobox
够得出结论对于东盟而言维持现状或是与中国正面竞争都不是很
技术交流英文
好的出路既然如此贸易协议就应该被视为双方向更好的团结合作关系
努力的一个纽带而这种紧密联系将会在将来促进双方经济的前进同时
也希望能为本地区带来政治稳定
本论文借鉴并引用了多方面的资料以便为课题进行分析
关键词关税下降非关税壁垒贸易协议贸易, 外商投资国内生产总值成功关键因素
SOUTHEAST ASIA-CHINA FREE TRADE AREA – POSSIBLE IMPACT ON TRADE, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND OTHER ASPECTS IN THE AREA
ABSTRACT
The formation of an ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) was first propod by then Chine Premier Zhu Rongji in 2000. ASEAN members hold differing views on this. On one hand, ASEAN members expresd fear of exacerbating competitive pressure from Chine products as ASEAN lowers its trade barriers under the ACFTA. On the other hand, a report submitted by the ASEAN-China Expert Group on Economic Cooperation in November 2000 provided empirical evidences, which are favorable to both ASEAN and China as a result of the agreement.
The thesis first traces the development of ASEAN and China. It then focus on the possible impact of a Southeast Asia-China free trade area on trade, foreign direct investment and gross domestic product in the area. Finally, it also examines the potential issues and the critical success factors for the successful implementation of the ACFTA.
In summary, simulation studies by the ASEAN-China expert group and Suthiphand Chirathivat of Chulalongkorn University using the Global Trade Analysis Project model indicate that there is high gain to be reaped by both parties in terms total output growth, export growth and trade balance. Specifically ASEAN exports to China will increa by US$13 billion or 48%, while China exports to ASEAN will increa by US$10.6 billion or 55.1%. Besides gains in trade in goods, rvice is another area that allows ASEAN to reap benefits. Although China does not really posss competitiv
e advantage in this area given its relatively low level of rvice development, this is a ctor which investors from third countries, such as the US and EU are particularly interested in, especially after the relaxation of foreign ownership following China’s WTO accession. The FTA would no doubt give ASEAN an advantage in this prized ctor. Another major area that would benefit is investment. With a wide range of objectives and measures tailored to attain clor cooperation and facilitate investment, investors doing business in both regions would benefit from the greater certainty and dynamism that would ensue.
Finally, the studies also indicate that ASEAN's GDP will increa by 0.9% or US$5.4 billion, while China's GDP will increa by 0.3% or US$2.2 billion, reprenting a total GDP increa of US$7.6 billion.necessary
Besides the static effects, dynamic effects are also expected to result from the establishment of a FTA, mainly due to the creation of scale economies, product differentiation,
efficiency gains and policy coordination, amongst others. In fact, the would possibly be of greater importance than the static effects in the long run.
It is crucial to highlight that the numerous benefits that could ensue from the ACFTA will not materiali
ze if the environment does not support it. One of the critical success factors for implementation calls for all members to approach integration with a view of open regionalism. This refers to an outward looking strategy whereby moves are made towards lowering of external barriers faced by non-members, alongside the liberalization commitments accompanying the formation of a FTA.
The thesis concludes that China’s accession to WTO does affect Southeast Asian nations negatively. Rather than competing head-on with China or maintaining status quo, the ACFTA should be viewed as a timely arrangement for both parties to work towards greater solidarity and linkages that would spur future growth. It should negate the challenges pod and enhance the benefits for both parties. Finally, collaboration will also bring about political stability, which will make the region more attractive as an investment spot.
The thesis is not meant to be another empirical exerci but has instead depended on extensive literature rearch to fulfill the objectives t out to achieve.
高中英语说课稿
Keywords:tax reduction, non-trade barriers, free trade agreement, trade, foreign direct investment, gross domestic products, critical success factors
